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Joined 1 year ago
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Cake day: February 5th, 2025

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  • they all assume most people won’t bother

    There’s a sort of built-in compensation for “response rates” or “perception rates” - in my industry we trend customer complaints and act according to the data we receive, but we also know that for every complaint we receive there are typically 30 similar events that go unreported. We also know that certain “responders” are outliers and will report every single instance they experience (and sometimes embellish and create additional instances for dramatic effect) but these are exceedingly rare and usually “adjusted” to normal responder levels once identified.

    Now, when people create AI agents to file the complaints for them… that’s a new level of response rates. 25 years ago I came close to doing this for airport flyover noise complaints - our local (international) airport had an obscure portal for local residents to complain when they were bothered by jet flyovers - and our neighborhood would get dozens of events per month where the noise was so loud you couldn’t hear the other side of a phone call INSIDE your house with the windows shut. Thousands of homes were impacted by this, often 4 or 5 times in a row within an hour or two. But, the complaint channel was so obscure and the reporting process inconvenient enough that very few complaints were recorded, and they loved to point out that 40% of their complaints came from a single resident. Smart phones weren’t a widespread thing yet, if they were I would have “made an app for that” where anytime you were “impacted” by a jet flyover all you would have to do is pull out your phone and tap the app to file a report. (I considered developing it for Palm Pilot, but I doubt even 10 residents would have carried Palm Pilots for the purpose of filing reports…) If we got a couple hundred residents across the neighborhood reporting even 10% of the troublesome flyovers, we might have changed the conversation - as it was the airport used the lack of complaints to justify no change in flight patterns.







  • I wouldn’t say “if humans weren’t capable of learning we wouldn’t be here in the first place” - I would say “by random evolution of circumstances, humans are where we are today - some capable of learning, some apparently not.”

    the (human) hive mind learning works worse than in hiving insects.

    That’s an entirely opinion driven statement. What is better, or worse? From whose perspective? Do you know what you don’t know? If you think you do, you’re wrong.

    From my perspective, people are a squishy mess. AI/LLM are also somewhat of a squishy mess, but I find them to be a lot more consistent and predictable in their behavior than randomly selected people. And, as far as the hiring process to find “the right” people for a particular job, that’s a long complicated unpredictable usually costly and error prone process, even before you get to the point that the people you have engaged for a certain task might start to learn and improve in their role. I can hire AI agents for the equivalent of pennies per hour of equivalent human output, and while they have their issues, I can get as many of them as I want with that same predictable behavior / capability for just a few dollars more. They haven’t started suing for slip and fall (yet), their performance doesn’t degrade based on time of day, day of the week, phase of the moon. They don’t call out sick, or pregnant. They don’t want healthcare insurance… whatever they can do, they would seem to be the ideal employees to do it.






  • which is not the case for people because humans can spot the “obviously stupid” or “obviously dangerous”

    No AI was used in the creation of these clusterfucks:

    1. The Lake Peigneur Maelstrom - In November 1980, Texaco was conducting exploratory oil drilling directly on top of a shallow, 10-foot-deep freshwater lake. Operating directly underneath that same lake was a massive, active multi-level salt mine

    2. The Banqiao “Iron Dam” Collapse (China, 1975) Built in the early 1950s for flood control, the Banqiao earthen dam was heavily reinforced with Soviet engineering assistance and proudly nicknamed the “Iron Dam” by the government, which declared it completely unbreakable

    3. The Capsizing of the Vasa Warship (Sweden, 1628) In 1628, King Gustavus Adolphus built the Vasa, an opulent warship meant to serve as the crown jewel of the Swedish Navy. It was designed to intimidate enemies with unprecedented firepower.

    4. The gas tank in the back of the Ford Pinto.

    5. The Tesla Cybertruck (well, maybe some AI got in there, but the core bad ideas were well established before ChatGPT was “a thing”.)

    6. Lead in gasoline

    7. The Triangle Shirtwaist Factory Fire (New York, 1911) The Triangle Shirtwaist Factory occupied the top floors of a Manhattan building, employing hundreds of young immigrant women. Management routinely ignored basic industrial safety measures to maximize profits and prevent employee theft. The “Obviously Dangerous” Reality: Locking workers inside a high-rise room filled with flammable textiles and scraps creates a lethal death trap in an emergency.

    8. Bhopal 1984

    9. Chernobyl 1986

    10. The Hillsborough Stadium Disaster (Sheffield, UK, 1989) During an FA Cup semifinal match between Liverpool and Nottingham Forest, thousands of fans arrived outside the Leppings Lane end of the stadium just before kickoff, creating a massive, chaotic bottleneck at the turnstiles. The “Obviously Dangerous” Reality: Opening a massive exit gate to let thousands of frantic people rush blindly down a narrow tunnel into an already overcrowded, fenced-in terrace creates a lethal human crush.

    11. The Who - December 3, 1979 at the Riverfront Coliseum in Cincinnati, Ohio.

    12. School shootings…