• 12 Posts
  • 293 Comments
Joined 6 months ago
cake
Cake day: July 25th, 2024

help-circle

















  • For context, in 2023, the US had 19,252 cases of murder or voluntary manslaughter. The US is projected to have a 16% nationwide drop in homicides in 2024 (“homicide” includes involuntary manslaughter, so it’s not technically one-to-one).

    We’ll be really generous to murder and voluntary manslaughter and assume that those actually dropped by what would be a substantial 20% (even though it could be lower than 16% too). Then we have about 15,400 of these cases. Under that assumption (which I think is pretty reasonable as most likely a very conservative undercount), this represents about 4.5% of intentional killings in the US. To my understanding, the overwhelming majority is male-on-male. After that, I have no clue where female-on-female and female-on-male land.

    (EDIT: That being said, it’s entirely possible and likely that this linked database is an undercount. Although overall, it seems pretty scrupulous; I doubt the size would increase by more than maybe 10% if it were to be complete.)