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Joined 2 years ago
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Cake day: July 9th, 2023

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  • Oh I’ve posted repeatedly about an underrated danger of pulling back from EVs, for example, is not only are we not establishing a commercial base for future manufacturing, but after a few quarters of profit, American manufacturers will find themselves unable to compete globally. We are doomed for a long slow death of protectionism.

    What even are the options at this point? Car manufacturing is millions of jobs and a huge part of the economy so we can’t afford to let it die. But they’re already focussed on vehicles that can’t be sold anywhere else, and now they’re ceding the entire global market while no longer even developing their own technology.

    But politicians can’t afford to let them fail. So I’m calling it now: the next president will have to continue the protectionism while investing billions of dollars in incentives to try to help them recover. But they’ll still drag their feet, still focus on the largest models and highest trims that none of us can afford. The EV market will be ascendant, with established leading manufacturers, while legacy car companies will still be trying the squeeze pennies out of a dying market rather than compete




  • Did musk claim to be working toward AGI? I hadn’t heard that but I also stopped paying attention.

    I can see his logic for Optimus. Personal robots were a 1960s dream of the future, just like electric cars. He had perfect timing to scale up to the first affordable, compelling electric cars, and disrupt that market. He had perfect timing to scale up 1960s style self-landing rockets and disrupt that market. Now you look at what Boston Dynamics and similar can do, so maybe the timing is right for humanoid robots to suddenly hit the big times! Personally I’m skeptical because there is no market but also I think that dream faded. Why would I want a personal humanoid robot when we have dirt cheap Roombas, drones, 3d printing? Why would anyone want a humanoid robot for manufacturing when real automation will always be faster? So we’re down to Amazon distribution centers? Who’s the remaining market here?

    And Grok makes sense from the perspective of desperately trying to get self-driving to happen, and to make the robot work, and maybe he even wants to compete with Alexa, etc.

    But LLMs are not a path toward AGI. Neither is the neural bet that drives the cars.




  • That’s the catch isn’t it? In a lawful society and under normal due process you’d expect to start with a crime, reasonable suspicion, and a search warrant. Then yes, if it’s reasonable for you to expect that you’ve destroyed evidence, I’d expect you to be so charged.

    But the entire issue with this immigration crackdown is the assertion that constitutional protections no longer apply, laws no longer apply, due process no longer applies. They have claimed for years the right to search smartphones at a border, without a warrant and we didn’t object. Now they’re extending it beyond their jurisdiction purview to search away from a border, away from their intended task, and still with little to no due process or civil rights. Now they’re trying to extend this suspension of law to a protester whose activity they don’t like. This is where the Gestapo analogy comes from.

    A bit of speculation here but you can configure your phone to wipe itself automatically for exactly this type of oppression. He could very well have done so. But in what seems similar to me, companies can not destroy evidence by deleting email but they can have a policy to automatically delete it after, say 60 days. It’s automatic, a normal process, so it’s ok. How would a normal process to wipe your phone automatically not be the same?







  • Still deciding.

    • I have fond childhood memories of traipsing through a tree farm until we found the right one, then taking turns using the old two handled buck saw we carried out, then trying to work as a team to carrry a massive tree back
    • now I live in an urban area with no nearby tree farm. I’m sticking spending well over $100 and I don’t have a car with roof rack to carry it.

    Sometimes I use an artificial tree and sometimes I goto Home Depot as the most reasonably priced place to get a real one. Last year the selection at Home Depot was bad plus they were all small so I spent twice as much at a higher end place


  • Apple Watch specifically has a mode for when it’s turned off that shows you the time when you tap the screen

    There’s a general thing throughout tech where off isn’t off. This is one of those cases where “off” is just a low power mode, but you can still turn it off for real. This is not specific to Apple Watch at all.

    There’s some grains of truth in the rant

    • too many devices don’t turn off by default
    • voice assistants listen to everything by default and are very good at picking out voices
    • and yes there was research that with a special setup researches were able to use WiFi to “see” through walls

    But you can turn off always listening or otherwise remove voice assistants from your life. You can turn off devices. And you can gain perspective that researchers doing something clever doesn’t necessarily translate to every device doing it.

    Be more afraid of the personal data you’re “willingly” giving away. From profiles to location to listening/watching reading content and times to opinions and associations



  • Perhaps they can invest in additional power transmission and clean generation.

    Never thought I’d say this but for my area apparently it’s the Jones’s Act. Here in New England as we shut down coal and nuclear we were never able to get natural gas pipelines. Now that there are better options our attempts to build power distribution lines keep getting blocked. Our offshore wind farms keep getting blocked. We’re stuck on natural gas but without a pipeline we’re stuck importing LNG by ship and because of the Jones Act and there being no American built LNG ships, the only choice is importing from other countries

    Let us build our wind farms. Help coordinate with other states so we can build long distance power lines to our buddies in Ontario

    The datacenter bubble is a Republican chance to platform energy independence, cheap and available energy. Build more businesses, help the economy …. Let’s create solar and wind incentives to speed that up and let’s go gangbusters on power distribution to make America great.

    Forget these natural gas turbines on a five year back order. Are they made in American? I didn’t think so. Time to go gangbuster on solar where most of the cost is local labor